Forecast of rain, storms and extreme weather from now until the end of the year

(Chinhphu.vn) - It is forecasted that in the next 10 days, the mainland and the East Sea will likely be affected by some dangerous natural disasters. From now until the end of the year, there will be about 3 storms/tropical depressions in the East Sea.

Mr. Nguyen Thuong Hien, Director of the Department of Hydrometeorology ( Ministry of Agriculture and Environment ) has just informed about the natural disaster situation in the next 10 days and the trend of extreme weather from now until the end of the year.

There are still 3 storms and tropical depressions active in the East Sea.

The Department of Hydrometeorology forecasts that from October 16 to October 25, the mainland as well as the East Sea may be affected by some dangerous natural disasters.

A new tropical depression has formed in the sea east of the Philippines. It is likely to strengthen into a storm in the next 1-2 days and will move into the northeastern part of the northern East Sea on October 19-20.

Due to the influence of a tropical depression, which is likely to strengthen into a storm, on the afternoon of October 18, in the North and Central East Sea (including Hoang Sa special zone), winds will gradually increase and seas will be rough.

At the time the storm moves into the East Sea, there will be cold air moving down from the North, so there is a possibility that the storm will weaken at sea.

"In the next 10 days in the North, there is very little chance of heavy rain and floods on the rivers of the North. On the night of October 18, the North will begin to be affected by cold air, which will then intensify on October 20-25. The weather will be cold at night and in the morning. The mountainous areas will likely become cold. From October 20, the Northeast wind will likely strengthen to level 6-7, gusting to level 8, with waves 2-4m high and rough seas," Mr. Hien said.

Leaders of the Department of Hydrometeorology forecast the possibility of natural disasters causing heavy rain in the Central region, focusing on provinces from Ha Tinh to Quang Ngai.

Specifically, on October 16-18, in the area from Quang Tri to Quang Ngai , there will be moderate rain, heavy rain and thunderstorms with common rainfall of 70-150mm, locally very heavy rain over 350mm. Particularly in Hue city, locally over 500mm.

After October 19, moderate rain, with some places experiencing heavy rain, will continue. In particular, from October 23 to 26, the provinces in the Central region will be affected by the combined impact of cold air and high-altitude easterly wind disturbances.

"This is a typical weather pattern combined with terrain characteristics that can cause heavy rain and floods in river basins from Ha Tinh to Quang Ngai," Mr. Hien informed. The amount of rain and flood warning levels will be updated by this agency in short-term forecast bulletins.

The Director of the Department of Hydrometeorology forecasts that in the next 3 months, the probability of maintaining La Nina status is likely to reach 60-75%.

There are still about 3 storms/tropical depressions active in the East Sea, of which 1-2 storms are likely to affect mainland Vietnam.

The North may experience severe cold from the second half of December.

According to the Department of Hydrometeorology, the North may experience severe cold from the second half of December. Moderate and heavy rains are likely to appear in the Central region, concentrated in the area from Ha Tinh to Da Nang, Khanh Hoa and the eastern areas of Quang Ngai and Dak Lak provinces.

Rivers in the North are unlikely to experience heavy rain and floods. Floods on rivers in the Central region may reach flood warning levels 2-3, in some places exceeding warning level 3, with the risk of late floods coinciding with the reservoir storage period.

In the Mekong Delta, according to forecasts, floods at Tan Chau station, Chau Doc (An Giang) will gradually subside from now until the end of December. This area will be affected by 5 high tides on October 22-27, November 4-10, November 18-25, December 2-8 and December 17-24.

In particular, the high tides in early November and early December caused water levels at downstream stations to rise to alert levels 2-3 and above alert level 3; posing a high risk of flooding and dike overflow in low-lying coastal and riverside areas, and outside the dikes.

It is forecasted that in the 2025-2026 dry season, saline intrusion will be lower than the average of many years and lower than in 2024-2025.

Thu Cuc

Source: https://baochinhphu.vn/du-bao-tinh-hinh-mua-bao-thoi-tiet-cuc-doan-tu-nay-den-cuoi-nam-102251016172108795.htm