Everton stay in the league, Leicester, Leeds and Southampton say goodbye to the Premier League

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Not long ago, Nottingham Forest was in the relegation race. But Forest, who have just reappeared at the highest level in England this season, managed to escape after a victory over Arsenal - the team that had led the league for 248 days, before being dethroned by Man City. That shows how high the quality of the teams that have to compete for relegation is. Before Forest beat Arsenal, Everton won 5-1 at Brighton - the "phenomenon" of this season in England. Yet Everton is still having to... breathe oxygen before the final round.

It has been just seven years since Leicester, under Claudio Ranieri, won the Premier League. Leeds won in 1992, the season before the Premier League was created. Everton won in 1987, when they became the third-highest club in the land of football in terms of league titles (behind only Liverpool and Manchester United). Nottingham Forest, two-time European Cup winners, won in 1978. Since Forest's triumph, only seven other teams have won the English league (in 45 years).

Everton's biggest hope of staying in the league is now

Everton have always been in the Premier League. The last time they were relegated from the top flight was in 1951. With only two relegations in their history (136 years), Everton are the second most familiar face in the English national championship, behind only Arsenal. But this season, Everton have never moved above mid-table. They have been in the relegation zone for 13 rounds. Coach Frank Lampard was sacked at the end of January, when the team was second to last. In Lampard's place, coach Sean Dyche helped Everton beat Arsenal 1-0 in his first match. Everton are currently 2 points ahead of Leicester and Leeds, but Everton have the lowest goal difference. Everton are preparing to meet Bournemouth in the final round. Leeds meet Tottenham while Leicester meet West Ham (all 3 teams racing to avoid relegation play at home).

If Everton beat Bournemouth, they will stay up. If Everton draw, Leicester will stay up if they beat West Ham. Leeds will only stay up if they beat Tottenham (by 3 goals or more) and Leicester and Everton both fail to win. If Leeds and Leicester both fail to win, Everton will stay up even if they lose. In short: Everton have the best hope while Leeds have the hardest time. No one will forget: Leeds were a regular at the top of the table, and reached the Champions League semi-finals at the turn of the millennium.

People often say that the play-off match for promotion to the Premier League is the "100 million pound match" every year. It's easy to understand: the promoted team will have at least 100 million pounds more in the next season. But, in the opposite direction, the loss of a team that is eliminated from this tournament is much larger than that 100 million. In addition to the specific money from television copyright and ranking position (the bottom team in the Premier League often has an income higher than 100 million pounds), the loss of the relegated team lies in two aspects: spirit and expertise. The best players will leave. Those who stay will have to pay the club "premier league salaries" even when they are only playing at the second level. Personnel serving professional issues will be cut to the maximum to save costs, which will also affect professional issues.

Researchers estimate that a team that is relegated from the Premier League will lose around 60% of its value. Will Leeds, Leicester or Everton be the teams that "lose 60% of their value" due to relegation after the decisive round of matches this Sunday?

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