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Crude oil prices increase, Arabica and Robusta coffee go in opposite directions

The Vietnam Commodity Exchange (MXV) said that the world raw material market was relatively volatile in the past trading week.

Hà Nội MớiHà Nội Mới07/07/2025

Closing, dominant buying power supported the MXV-Index to increase nearly 0.5% to 2,223 points.

commodity-market-first-week-30.6-6.7.png

Energy commodity markets recovered last week. Source: MXV

According to MXV, the energy market has turned around to recover positively thanks to optimistic sentiment about the macroeconomic outlook that will boost global oil demand.

Of which, Brent oil price recorded an increase of 2.25%, reaching 68.3 USD/barrel. Similarly, WTI oil price also increased by 2.26%, stopping at 67 USD/barrel.

A series of positive indicators on the US economy have contributed to the rise in oil prices. The JOLTS job openings index increased in May, the manufacturing PMI index published by S&P Global also recorded an improvement in June, along with the unemployment rate falling, showing that the US labor market is continuing to recover.

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The industrial raw material commodity market is dominated by red.

Source: MXV

Contrary to the general market trend, the industrial raw materials group recorded overwhelming selling pressure on most key commodities.

Of which, Arabica coffee price lost more than 4.6% to 6,384 USD/ton. On the contrary, Robusta coffee price recorded a slight increase of nearly 0.5% to 3,677 USD/ton.

The downward pressure on Arabica coffee prices is mainly due to increased global supply. According to the International Coffee Organization (ICO), global coffee exports in May of the 2025-2026 crop year reached 12.65 million bags, up 5% compared to the same period last year.

Notably, Arabica exports in the last 12 months increased by 6% to 86 million bags, while Robusta decreased by 3.44% to 50.7 million bags.

At the same time, coffee consumption demand in major markets in the Northern Hemisphere is showing signs of slowing down due to the long summer holidays, especially in the US and Europe.

However, the European Union's anti-deforestation regulation (EU Deforestation Regulation - EUDR) will officially come into effect from January 1, 2026.

This could prompt importers to step up purchases early to ensure coffee is shipped to Europe before December 31, 2025, thereby creating support for coffee prices in the coming time.


Source: https://hanoimoi.vn/dau-tho-tang-gia-ca-phe-arabica-va-robusta-di-nguoc-chieu-708247.html


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