Next month, there is a possibility of 2-3 storms and low pressure in the East Sea.

It is forecasted that in the next month, there will be 2-3 storms and tropical depressions in the East Sea, of which 1-2 may affect our country. In the North and Central regions, there will be widespread heavy rain.

In the next month, there is a possibility of 1-2 storms and tropical depressions affecting our country - Photo: NGUYEN KHÁNH

On October 11, the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting issued a weather forecast bulletin for the whole country in the next month (from October 11 to November 10).

There is a possibility of 1-2 storms and tropical depressions affecting our country.

Specifically, it is forecasted that there will be 2-3 storms and tropical depressions in the East Sea, and 1-2 storms may affect mainland Vietnam (higher than the average of many years).

During the forecast period, cold air continues to be active and increases in frequency and intensity.

There is a possibility of widespread heavy rain in the early stages in the Northern region and Thanh Hoa and Nghe An provinces.

In the provinces from Ha Tinh to Quang Ngai, there is a possibility of some widespread heavy rains during the forecast period.

Other areas have many days of showers and thunderstorms, some of which may have moderate to heavy rain.

There is still a possibility of dangerous weather phenomena such as thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning, hail and strong gusts of wind across the country.

Total rainfall in common areas is approximately equal to the average of many years, except for the provinces from Ha Tinh to Quang Ngai where total rainfall is 20-40% higher than the average of many years.

"In the context of climate change, weather and climate are becoming increasingly complex with many dangerous and extreme forms such as heavy rain in a short period of time, flash floods, landslides...

Therefore, it is recommended to regularly update and integrate meteorological and hydrological forecast and warning information in short-term bulletins of 1-3 days, to promptly adjust production plans and appropriate response plans.

In particular, the reservoir operation plan must be appropriate, ensuring the safety of the project and downstream areas, along with ensuring the safety of production activities and people's lives," the meteorological agency noted.

Heavy rain on October 7 caused deep flooding in Thai Nguyen - Photo: LE DUY KHAC

Heavy rain in Thai Nguyen exceeds three historical records

According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, from September 11 to October 10, there were 4 storms in the East Sea, including storm No. 8 (Mitag), storm No. 9 (Ragasa), storm No. 10 (Bualoi) and storm No. 11 (Matmo). Of which, storm No. 9, storm No. 10 and storm No. 11 directly affected our country.

In the Northern and North Central provinces, there were many widespread heavy rains, notably the widespread heavy rains caused by storms No. 10 and No. 11 in the North.

During the heavy rains above, in many places, daily rainfall values ​​were recorded exceeding historical values ​​for the same period.

Notably, on October 7, in Thai Nguyen, 491mm of rainfall was observed, not only exceeding the historical value of daily rainfall in October (201mm on October 4, 1978) but also exceeding the highest daily rainfall of the year (374mm on August 5, 1973), as well as the highest total rainfall in October (363mm in October 1964).

Due to many heavy rains and record heavy rains, the total rainfall in the North, Thanh Hoa and Nghe An in the past month was generally 100-200% higher than the average of many years, especially in the mountainous areas of the North, it was 300-450% higher than the average of many years.

From the night of October 13, the North will have rain again.

According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, from the night of October 13, in the Northeast and the area from Thanh Hoa to Quang Tri, there will be rain, moderate rain and scattered thunderstorms, with some places having heavy to very heavy rain.

From October 14, the rain will spread to the northeastern region. In the last 1-2 days (October 15 and 16), there will be scattered showers and thunderstorms, with heavy rain in some places.

Tonight (October 11), floods on Cau River and Thuong River (Bac Ninh) continue to recede.

Water level at 8:00 p.m. on October 11, on Cau River at Dap Cau station was 6.42m, about 0.12m above alarm level 3; on Thuong River at Phu Lang Thuong station was about 0.78m above alarm level 3, about 0.45m below the historical flood of 1986.

It is forecasted that in the next 24 hours, flood on Cau River at Dap Cau station will drop to alert level 2 and flood on Thuong River at Phu Lang Thuong station will drop to alert level 3.

Flooding in Thai Nguyen, Bac Ninh, Lang Son provinces and Hanoi city continues in riverside communes and wards and may last for the next 1-2 days, especially in low-lying areas where it may last for the next 2-3 days.

The meteorological agency forecasts that from the night of October 13 to 16, there is a possibility of widespread rain in the North and North Central regions.

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Source: https://tuoitre.vn/mot-thang-toi-kha-nang-co-2-3-con-bao-ap-thap-tren-bien-dong-20251011214549644.htm