Storm No. 10 Bualoi is forecast to cause heavy rain from the morning of September 28. Source of storm location at 5:00 a.m. on September 27: Vietnam Natural Disaster Monitoring System
Latest update from the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, at 4:00 a.m. on September 27, the center of the storm was at about 14 degrees north latitude; 116.6 degrees east longitude, about 580 km east-southeast of Hoang Sa special zone. The strongest wind near the center of the storm was level 11-12 (103-133 km/h), gusting to level 15. The storm moved west-northwest at a speed of 35-40 km/h.
Updated position and path of storm No. 10 Bualoi at 5:00 a.m. on September 27. Source: National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting
The storm center moves into the area from Nghe An to northern Quang Tri.
The meteorological agency continued to emphasize that this is a very fast moving storm (nearly twice the average speed), with strong storm intensity and a wide range of influence, which can cause combined impacts of many types of natural disasters such as strong winds, heavy rains, floods, flash floods, landslides and coastal flooding.
Forecast in the next 24 hours, the storm moves west-northwest at a speed of 30-35 km/hour and is likely to strengthen.
At 4:00 a.m. on September 28, the center of the storm was at about 16.3 degrees north latitude; 110 degrees east longitude, in the sea west of Hoang Sa special zone, about 180 km east of Da Nang . The intensity was level 12-13, gusting to level 16.
Danger zone north of latitude 11.5 degrees north, east of longitude 108 degrees east. Disaster risk level 3 for the northern and central East Sea (including Hoang Sa special zone), sea area from Ha Tinh to Quang Ngai.
Forecast in the next 36 hours, the storm moves west-northwest at a speed of about 25 km/hour.
At 4 p.m. on September 28, the storm's center was at about 17.4 degrees north latitude; 107.6 degrees east longitude, on the sea from Ha Tinh to Thua Thien Hue, about 160 km east-southeast of northern Quang Tri. The storm's intensity was level 12-13, gusting to level 16.
Danger zone north of latitude 13.5 degrees north, west of longitude 113 degrees east. Level 3 natural disaster risk for the sea area west of the northern East Sea (including Hoang Sa special zone), northwest of the central East Sea area, from Thanh Hoa to Quang Ngai (including Hon Ngu island, Con Co special zone and Ly Son) and north of Bac Bo Gulf (including Bach Long Vy special zone, Van Don, Co To, Cat Hai and Hon Dau island), the area from Ninh Binh to Thua Thien Hue.
Forecast in the next 48 hours, the storm moves west-northwest at a speed of 20-25 km/hour.
At 4:00 a.m. on September 29, the storm's center was at about 18.5 degrees north latitude; 105.5 degrees east longitude, on the mainland from Nghe An to northern Quang Tri. The storm's intensity was level 8-9, gusting to level 11.
Danger zone north of latitude 15 degrees north, west of longitude 110.5 degrees east. Level 3 natural disaster risk for the western sea area of the northern East Sea (including Hoang Sa special zone), from Thanh Hoa to Quang Ngai (including Hon Ngu island, Con Co special zone and Ly Son) and northern Gulf of Tonkin (including Bach Long Vy special zone, Van Don, Co To, Cat Hai and Hon Dau island), the area from Ninh Binh to Thua Thien Hue.
It is forecast that in the next 72 hours, the storm will continue to move west-northwest at a speed of 20-25 km/hour and gradually weaken into a low pressure area.
At 4:00 a.m. on September 30, the center of the low pressure area was at about 20.8 degrees north latitude; 101.1 degrees east longitude, over the Upper Laos region. Intensity below level 6.
Danger zone north of latitude 17 degrees north, west of longitude 108 degrees east. Level 3 natural disaster risk for the sea area from Thanh Hoa to northern Quang Tri (including Hon Ngu island, Con Co special zone) and northern Bac Bo Gulf (including Bach Long Vy special zone, Van Don, Co To, Cat Hai and Hon Dau island), the area from Ninh Binh to northern Quang Tri.
Storms bring a very dangerous combination of natural disasters
Description of storm wind level and level of impact. Source: National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting
At sea, the North and Central East Sea (including Hoang Sa special zone) have strong winds of level 8-9, near the storm's eye level 10-13, gusting to level 16, waves 6-8m high, near the storm's eye 8-10m, very rough seas.
From the evening of September 27, the sea area from Thanh Hoa to Quang Ngai (including Hon Ngu island, Con Co special zone and Ly Son) will have winds gradually increasing to level 6-7, gusting to level 8-9, waves 3-5m high, and rough seas.
From early morning on September 28, the wind increased to level 8-9, the area near the storm center passed level 10-13, gusting to level 16, waves from 5-7m high, violent sea (extremely destructive, extremely strong waves. Sinking large tonnage ships).
From early morning on September 28, in the Northern Gulf of Tonkin (including Bach Long Vy, Van Don, Co To, Cat Hai and Hon Dau islands), the wind gradually increased to level 6-7, then increased to level 8-9 (very rough seas, very dangerous for boats), gusting to level 11, waves 3-5m high, very rough seas.
Regarding the rising water situation, coastal areas and islands from Ninh Binh to Ha Tinh will have storm surges of 1-2m, and Thanh Hoa and Nghe An will have 1.5-2m. There is a high risk of flooding along dykes, coastal roads, and river mouths due to rising sea levels and very high storm waves on the evening and night of September 28.
Weather warning at sea, coastal mainland during the storm is extremely dangerous, unsafe for any vehicle or structure operating in the danger zone such as: cruise ships, passenger ships, transport ships, cages, rafts, aquaculture areas, dykes, embankments, coastal routes. Vehicles are highly likely to capsize, be destroyed; flooded due to strong winds, big waves and rising sea levels.
On land , from the afternoon of September 28, on land from Thanh Hoa to Northern Quang Tri, the wind gradually increased to level 6-7, then increased to level 8-9, near the storm center level 10-12 (wind force can knock down trees, houses, electric poles, causing very heavy damage), gusting to level 14. Coastal areas from Quang Ninh to Ninh Binh, from Southern Quang Tri to Hue city, the wind gradually increased to level 6-7 (trees shaking, difficult to go against the wind), gusting to level 8-9.
Regarding heavy rain, from early morning of September 28 to September 30, in the North and the area from Thanh Hoa to Hue city, there is a possibility of widespread heavy rain with total rainfall ranging from 100 - 300mm, locally over 400mm; in the Northern Delta and from Thanh Hoa to Ha Tinh, it is common from 200 - 400mm, locally over 600mm.
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