Tropical depression may strengthen into storm number 11

On the morning of October 1, international meteorological forecast models such as the US Global Climate Warning System (GFS), the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) all confirmed that the low pressure area with symbol #93W in the Northwest Pacific Ocean had strengthened into a tropical depression.

Location of the center of the tropical depression in the East of the Philippines via satellite image at 12:30 on October 1

According to early and not very accurate forecasts, this tropical depression may reach 75 knots (i.e. level 12 on the storm scale applied by Vietnam) before moving into the Leizhou Peninsula (China). In the next 2-3 days, the northern East Sea area needs to be on guard against bad weather, with strong winds of level 12 gusting to level 14 at the center of the storm. Satellite images currently show that the development of the tropical depression is consistent with the forecast.

JMA's early forecast on tropical depression (expected to become storm No. 11) updated this morning, October 1

Previously, on September 30, international meteorological forecasts recorded that low pressure #93W off the coast of the Philippines showed signs of strengthening into a tropical depression, moving into the East Sea from October 4 and becoming storm No. 11.

By the evening of October 5, the storm is likely to approach the Leizhou area of China. The US Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) estimates the storm's moving speed at about 40-45km/h, with the strongest intensity reaching 75 knots (level 12, similar to storm No. 10 - Bualoi) in the form of near-shore winds.

The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting has not yet released any information on this tropical depression. However, in its 10-day forecast for the whole country, issued on the morning of October 1, the agency said that heavy rains will return to the North from October 6 to 8.

International meteorological agencies also warned that storm No. 11 will attract humid southwest winds, combined with winds from subtropical high pressure, causing rain in the northern region (from Nghe An province and above) in the next 5-7 days.

ANGEL

Source: https://www.sggp.org.vn/ap-thap-nhiet-doi-co-the-manh-len-thanh-bao-so-11-post815739.html