AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction, 01:45 September 29: Home team regrets

TPO - Football commentary AC Milan vs Napoli, round 5 Serie A 2025/26 at 01:45 on September 29 - information on forces, expected lineup, form, history of confrontation. Surely the confrontation between AC Milan and Napoli at San Siro tonight will be extremely tight. With superior force, form, as well as the experience of Antonio Conte, the away team will probably smile at the end of the match.

Pre-match comments AC Milan vs Napoli

After a shocking opening day defeat, AC Milan have bounced back with four consecutive wins to progress in the Coppa Italia and climb to third place in Serie A 2025/26. The great thing is that coach Allegri has successfully built a solid defense, keeping clean sheets in all four matches while the attack is also proficient at finishing off opponents. In the most recent Coppa Italia win against Lecce, Santiago Gimenez ended his goal drought with a 20th-minute strike, then Christian Pulisic and Christopher Nkunku scored in turn.

In bad news for AC Milan, Napoli are also having an explosive start to their title defence. Antonio Conte's side have won all four Serie A games to secure top spot. They also showed impressive resilience by beating Pisa immediately after a 2-0 defeat to Man City in the Champions League. In this victory, Billy Gilmour and Lorenzo Lucca both scored their first goals for the club, while Leonardo Spinazzola had a brilliant day with a goal and an assist.

As two cautious coaches, Conte and Allegri will certainly create a match full of tactical calculations and tightness at San Siro. In this confrontation, the victory is likely to lean towards Conte, just like in previous encounters.

Form, head-to-head history AC Milan vs Napoli

Allegri has beaten Conte in only two of their previous nine meetings, and in their first meeting in nearly 12 years, Conte continues to hold the advantage over a battle-hardened Napoli. Milan have previously dominated the Partenopei at home, but they have lost seven of their last 12 Serie A meetings at the San Siro, including a 2-0 defeat in October last year.

At San Siro, Milan have won only half of their last 8 Serie A games (lost 2 and drawn 2). Napoli, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last 6 away games in Serie A (won 4 and drawn 2). Last season, AC Milan were the 7th best home team in the league (won 9/19, earned 34 points) while Napoli were the third best away team in the league (37 points) and won 9/19.

AC Milan vs Napoli squad information

Rafael Leao has recovered to add to AC Milan's attacking options, with Luka Modric returning to the Rossoneri midfield after sitting out the win over Lecce and setting up an interesting clash with Kevin De Bruyne on the other side.

Captain Mike Maignan will also return to the goal. Napoli, meanwhile, will be without key defender Alessandro Buongiorno, who picked up an injury earlier this week. With Romelu Lukaku still recovering from an injury, Rasmus Hojlund will continue to lead the attack.

Expected lineup AC Milan vs Napoli

AC Milan: Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic; Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modric, Rabiot, Estupinan; Pulisic, Gimenez

Naples: Meret; Di Lorenzo, Beukema, Jesus, Spinazzola; Lobotka; Politano, Anguissa, De Bruyne, McTominay; Hojlund

Score prediction AC Milan 0-1 Napoli

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