End of the week on a high note

Domestic gold price

At the end of the trading session on September 2, the price of 9999 gold bars at SJC Ho Chi Minh City was 67.55 million VND/tael (buy) and 68.25 million VND/tael (sell). SJC Hanoi listed at 67.55 million VND/tael (buy) and 67.27 million VND/tael (sell).

Doji Hanoi listed at 67.6 million VND/tael (buy) and 68.3 million VND/tael (sell). Doji Ho Chi Minh City bought SJC gold at 67.5 million VND/tael and sold at 68.2 million VND/tael.

International gold price

On the world market, the spot gold price on Kitco floor on September 2 (at 8:00 p.m., Vietnam time) was trading at 1,939 USD/ounce.

At the current price, the world gold price converted to VND (including tax and processing fees) is about 10.8 million VND/tael different from the domestic SJC gold price.

Gold prices ended the week higher after a series of US economic data was released. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased 0.2% in July 2023, the same as the increase in June. In the 12 months to July 2023, the PCE price index increased 3.3%, after increasing 3% in June.

US job growth accelerated in August, but the unemployment rate hit 3.8%, according to the US Department of Labor.

Dismal US economic data released last week suggested the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may not raise interest rates at its meeting this month.

The dollar and US government bond yields also came under pressure following the data, supporting gold prices. The dollar index fell about 1% and US bond yields fell about 3% for the week.

Gold price forecast

The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in September has risen to 93% from 89%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at ActivTrades, said bad news for the economy would be good news for gold.

The latest Kitco News weekly gold survey shows that more than two-thirds of retail investors expect gold prices to rise.

Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, said he sees gold prices rising in the short term, then falling.

Source