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Why is the Fed not ready to cut interest rates?

VTC NewsVTC News14/03/2024


Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that he expects interest rates to start falling this year but did not give a specific timeframe. Mr. Powell said policymakers are still considering the risks posed by inflation and do not want to cut interest rates too quickly.

The Fed is not ready to cut interest rates. (Illustration photo).

The Fed is not ready to cut interest rates. (Illustration photo).

Comments soon followed that officials remained wary of undoing progress made in fighting inflation and would make decisions based on aggregate data rather than a pre-set roadmap.

Mr. Powell again noted that cutting interest rates too quickly risks undoing gains in the fight against inflation and may require further rate hikes, but waiting too long would also endanger economic growth.

Investors are now betting on the first rate cut in June and expect three to four more cuts this year. Policymakers will release updated rate projections at the Fed's meeting this month.

US economic activity increased slightly

The Fed's recent report showed that the US economy has grown slightly since the beginning of the year, with eight regions reporting slight to moderate growth in activity, three reporting no change and one recording a slight decline in economic activity.

US economy increased slightly. (Illustration photo).

US economy increased slightly. (Illustration photo).

The report also showed that consumer spending, especially retail, has softened in recent weeks; businesses are finding it harder to pass on higher costs to customers. Moreover, many manufacturers and builders have seen their raw material costs fall in recent weeks.

In the labor market, employment continued to increase in most regions but at a modest pace. Many economists expect the labor market to cool this year.

However, the Labor Department's January jobs report showed employers raised wages by the most in a year. More restrained labor costs may further reduce inflationary pressures that unexpectedly spiked earlier this year.

PHAM DUY


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