What are the chances for Sinner to end the year as world number 1?

After Alcaraz won the 2025 US Open, Sinner's 65-week reign at the top of the rankings ended. Can Sinner turn the tables before the end of 2025?

In theory, Sinner still has a chance to return to the world No. 1 position before the end of 2025 - Photo: REUTERS

After the end of the 2025 US Open, the gap between the two top players is quite large on the ATP Race rankings (only counting points this year), when Alcaraz leads Sinner by 2,590 points (10,540 vs. 7,950).

This number shows that the advantage of the Spanish player is extremely large. However, the door of hope is not completely closed for Sinner.

With a tight competition schedule from now until the end of the year, Sinner still has the opportunity to accumulate more points.

Specifically, he will participate in many important tournaments with a total of 4,500 maximum points that can be won when participating in Beijing (500 points), Shanghai (1,000 points), Vienna (500 points), Paris-Bercy (1,000 points) and ATP Finals (1,500 points).

Meanwhile, Alcaraz will be present at Tokyo (500 points), Shanghai (1,000 points), Paris-Bercy (1,000 points) and ATP Finals (1,500 points).

In theory, Sinner still has a chance to regain the world No. 1 position by the end of 2025, because he participated in one more tournament than Alcaraz and brought in 500 more points.

But to finish the year as No. 1, Sinner will almost certainly need to win most of the remaining tournaments. At the same time, he hopes that Alcaraz will stumble early in the tournaments the Spaniard participates in.

According to experts, Alcaraz maintaining the world No. 1 position until at least the 2026 Australian Open is a very likely scenario, because he has a big advantage in points and less burden to defend his record.

However, in tennis, anything can happen. The race to the throne in 2025 promises to be extremely attractive and dramatic.

TUAN LONG

Source: https://tuoitre.vn/co-hoi-nao-cho-sinner-ket-thuc-nam-voi-vi-tri-so-1-the-gioi-20250912113934273.htm